FAQ
Frequently asked questions
How accurate are race time predictions?
Predictions are most accurate when the known distance is close to the target. Predicting a marathon from a 5K has wider confidence intervals than predicting from a half marathon. Training specificity, nutrition, and terrain also affect real-world results.
What is the difference between Riegel and Cameron models?
The Riegel model uses a single power-law exponent (typically 1.06). The Cameron model applies a distance-dependent correction that tends to be more optimistic for longer distances and more conservative for shorter ones.
Why does experience level matter?
Advanced runners maintain a higher percentage of their short-distance pace over longer distances due to superior aerobic capacity and running economy. Beginners typically slow more as distance increases.
Evidence
References
This calculator provides estimates based on published exercise science research. Individual responses vary. These outputs are not a substitute for coaching, medical clearance, or your own experience. Always listen to your body and consult a qualified professional before making significant changes to your training.
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